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It has been a season of opposites for these two teams who meet at the Turf of Gillette Stadium at 1:00pm ET in the New Year and it is a final chance for one QB to shine this season. In one corner, we have a team that has already wrapped up the division title, a first round bye, and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. In the other corner, we have a team that looks like it has absolutely zero pulse going into the end of the year and is a train wreck offensively.
Henne knows that another bad performance will call for a lot of questions in this offseason, one that is destined to be a long one in Miami. A man like QB Jake Locker could be heading to South Beach in the NFL Draft if the Fins play their cards right, a move that they might be more inclined to make if Henne really can't get anything going in the last month of the season. We do need to remember that Henne has battled some knee injuries at times this year, but he was as healthy as a horse for the final four games of the season. The Fins were right there in the race at 6-5, and wins in three of the four games probably would have at least made things remotely interesting in the push for the playoffs. Instead, Henne went into a shell, throwing for just 783 yards with four scores against six picks. He single handedly blew games against the Cleveland Browns and Detroit Lions at home, both games of which really should have been won and won comfortably, and his offense only averaged 15.3 PPG in that stretch.
For the season, the Michigan product threw for 3,230 yards and 15 scores against 18 picks, numbers which don't suggest that he can lead this team to the postseason any time soon.
There's really not a lot to analyze here, as it is clear that the Pats, even if they do play at full strength on Sunday, won't be playing with much in the way of motivation. Miami lost 41-14 at home against New England Patriots earlier this season in a comedy of errors on offense and special teams. The Fins have played well on the road this year, going 6-1, and their last trip to Gillette Stadium did result in a 22-21 upset. Still, we can't back this team right now. Miami just lost to the Detroit Lions at home, for crying out loud! BetOnline is featuring a Week 17 betting line of New England minus 3 1/2, and we feel as though we have to lay the short spread, even if Hoyer takes every single snap in this game.
The Dolphins will head up to New England on Sunday to close out the season against the 13-2 Patriots needing a win to avoid a second consecutive sub .500 season. That's what the Dolphins are playing for on Sunday, folks - to avoid a losing season. Of course, win or lose, most Dolphin fans would agree that this season has been "lost" for some time. I can't argue that, either. But what I will say is that a win over the Patriots always feels good no matter the circumstances surrounding it. Other than that 2007 disaster, the Dolphins haven't lost both games to the Patriots in a season since 2003. I could sit here and talk about how the Dolphins need to run the football to keep New England's offense off of the field - and that would be accurate.
This is obviously the most worrisome matchup for the Dolphins. With Karlos Dansby still suffering from a turf toe injury, the Dolphins will likely be relying on two inside linebackers who are rather poor in coverage against backs and athletic tight ends. Last week without Dansby on the field, the Dolphins surrendered some huge plays to Detroit's Jahvid Best and Brandon Pettigrew. Pettigrew caught four passes for 74 yards and a touchdown. Best accounted for perhaps the most critical play of the game, a 54 yard touchdown reception in the fourth quarter that jump-started their comeback.
With little on the line in Week 17 last season, New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick gave his starters plenty of playing time - and ended up losing one of his biggest stars to injury. Whether that changes Belichick's approach to Sunday's meaningless game against the visiting Miami Dolphins remains to be seen. Having already secured the top seed in the AFC playoffs, the Patriots may opt to rest Tom Brady and others for part of their final tuneup for the postseason. Last year, New England had locked up the AFC East title going into the regular-season finale and couldn't gain a first-round bye, but Brady and many others still played in a 34-27 loss at Houston.
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